Capitalist
SUN JUL 19 · 12:16 PM ET · YouTube · Adam Livingston · 24-min analysis
MSTR CRITICS DEAD WRONG AGAIN — LIVINGSTON WALKS THE CAP-STRUCTURE MATH ONE MORE TIME
Livingston dropped a fresh 24-minute video Sunday afternoon walking through why the MSTR critics keep getting the cap-structure math wrong. His frame: WHY ALL THE MSTR CRITICS ARE TOTALLY DEAD WRONG. He does not sound tired. He sounds like a man who has answered this question three times and does not mind answering it again. The Capitalist read: Livingston is not defending Strategy the company. He is defending the wrapper trade — the specific mechanism by which cap-structure operators compound bitcoin exposure via convertible arb, preferred coupon stripping, and mNAV dislocation. Critics who confuse the wrapper with the underlying keep making the same three errors. They price MSTR like a leveraged ETF when it is a bitcoin bank with an equity float. They call the raises dilution when the raises are matched to intrinsic accretion. They treat mNAV compression as inevitable when it depends on the treasury’s next allocation window. The tape is confirming him. Metaplanet has 43,000 coins in the basement of a Japanese hotel company that is now building the Japanese financial rails. Strategy sits on 843,775 coins, untouched by the dividend service. The bears are still crying about mNAV. The wrapper trade compounds. Watch the video. The cap is still twenty-one million. Tick tock. Next block.
WATCH THE LIVINGSTON MSTR DEFENSE →
Adam Livingston · YouTube · sun jul 19 12:16 PM ET · 24-min analysis
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